Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.052808 4.535711 5.060774 5.675296 6.376324 7.152867 8.080615
2025-02-02 3.427798 4.089224 4.862603 5.838549 7.044095 8.493225 10.380198
2025-02-09 3.007007 3.761347 4.692643 5.937169 7.572074 9.667846 12.592057
2025-02-16 2.697016 3.504335 4.545759 6.004238 8.020486 10.748631 14.786555
2025-02-23 2.457751 3.297929 4.423000 6.063484 8.434284 11.798525 17.047318
2025-03-02 2.193197 3.022646 4.168508 5.897014 8.491059 12.325618 18.588516
2025-03-09 2.002980 2.828309 4.001340 5.826940 8.664206 13.021745 20.453882
2025-03-16 1.838543 2.653457 3.841803 5.744541 8.798096 13.656648 22.285721
2025-03-23 1.774225 2.618764 3.883356 5.968831 9.429928 15.146389 25.747146
2025-03-30 1.662099 2.500679 3.785120 5.957881 9.670440 16.005762 28.210998
2025-04-06 1.554374 2.379978 3.671148 5.907249 9.833042 16.740463 30.536849
2025-04-13 1.398026 2.170197 3.397715 5.563416 9.448346 16.453117 30.856552
2025-04-20 1.325690 2.093358 3.338848 5.587962 9.733440 17.443422 33.896972
2025-04-27 1.288034 2.070726 3.368172 5.769600 10.325783 19.086856 38.552619
2025-05-04 1.239365 2.025497 3.354620 5.871364 10.776561 20.507924 42.969709
2025-05-11 1.189145 1.973568 3.324616 5.938518 11.165003 21.848216 47.431609
2025-05-18 1.141752 1.922910 3.292373 5.997220 11.540757 23.206061 52.168456
2025-05-25 1.066098 1.816781 3.151728 5.832857 11.439258 23.520656 54.422921
2025-06-01 1.009998 1.742178 3.063516 5.763657 11.529025 24.265813 57.883246
2025-06-08 0.956702 1.669277 2.973286 5.682279 11.583239 24.934973 61.263208
2025-06-15 0.945243 1.673128 3.028663 5.903793 12.327186 27.310827 69.704297
2025-06-22 0.906392 1.622762 2.975567 5.892978 12.544854 28.448974 74.905403
2025-06-29 0.865744 1.566465 2.906959 5.842975 12.666166 29.363449 79.636229